Scottish Championship Round 5

Dumbarton vs Heart of Midlothian analysis

Dumbarton Heart of Midlothian
55 ELO 66
17.8% Tilt 22.7%
4056º General ELO ranking 471º
46º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
31%
Dumbarton
26.1%
Draw
42.8%
Heart of Midlothian

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
42.8%
Win probability
Heart of Midlothian
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dumbarton
+28%
+12%
Heart of Midlothian

ELO progression

Dumbarton
Heart of Midlothian
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2014
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 0
Livingston
LIV
43%
24%
33%
54 59 5 0
26 Aug. 2014
HIB
Hibernian FC
3 - 2
Dumbarton
DUM
54%
22%
24%
55 59 4 -1
23 Aug. 2014
GLA
Rangers
4 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
77%
15%
9%
56 73 17 -1
16 Aug. 2014
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 4
Queen of the South
QOS
40%
25%
35%
57 63 6 -1
09 Aug. 2014
RAI
Raith Rovers
3 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
41%
25%
35%
59 56 3 -2

Matches

Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2014
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
4 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
56%
23%
20%
66 63 3 0
26 Aug. 2014
STE
Stenhousemuir
1 - 2
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
26%
25%
49%
65 54 11 +1
23 Aug. 2014
RAI
Raith Rovers
0 - 4
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
35%
27%
39%
65 56 9 0
20 Aug. 2014
LIV
Livingston
4 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
31%
25%
44%
66 56 10 -1
17 Aug. 2014
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
2 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
62%
22%
16%
66 60 6 0