Dumbarton vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 0
DUM
51%
24%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CWB
2 - 1
DUM
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
STE
0 - 3
DUM
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
DUM
0 - 0
BRE
41%
26%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
DUM
1 - 0
ARB
53%
25%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 0
DUM
51%
24%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
AIR
2 - 4
GRE
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
GRE
5 - 0
RAI
35%
28%
38%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 2
PAR
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ICT
4 - 1
GRE
69%
19%
11%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |