Dumbarton vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
DUM
1 - 3
BRE
82%
11%
7%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
DUM
3 - 0
CWB
78%
15%
8%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1981 |
QOS
3 - 2
DUM
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1981 |
BRE
2 - 1
DUM
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1981 |
DUM
1 - 0
QOS
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1982 |
GRE
2 - 2
ABE
23%
23%
54%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
GRE
0 - 0
HIB
56%
26%
19%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
AIR
1 - 1
GRE
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1982 |
GRE
1 - 3
GLA
25%
27%
48%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
DUN
2 - 1
GRE
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |