Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
DUM
1 - 2
CLY
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
EAS
2 - 2
DUM
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
DUM
0 - 1
AIR
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MON
1 - 2
DUM
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
DUM
3 - 1
STR
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 2
RAI
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 0
MON
62%
22%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
FAL
3 - 0
FOR
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 2
EAS
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 0
CLY
54%
24%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |