Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
EAS
2 - 1
DUM
68%
21%
11%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
DUM
0 - 1
STR
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
THE
1 - 1
DUM
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
STE
1 - 1
DUM
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2008 |
DUM
1 - 0
STE
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
MON
2 - 2
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
FOR
2 - 3
EAS
21%
25%
54%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
ARB
1 - 1
FOR
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 0
STR
29%
26%
46%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 0
ARB
22%
24%
54%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +1 |