Dumbarton vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
44.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
DUM
3 - 1
ALL
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LIV
2 - 0
DUM
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
DUM
3 - 2
HIB
20%
25%
56%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
DUN
5 - 0
DUM
71%
18%
10%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
STM
1 - 0
DUM
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
FAL
2 - 0
ALL
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
STM
0 - 0
FAL
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
FAL
3 - 1
QOS
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 1
FAL
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
FAL
2 - 2
RAI
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |