Scottish Championship Round 9

Dumbarton vs Falkirk analysis

Dumbarton Falkirk
52 ELO 64
9% Tilt 10.1%
3899º General ELO ranking 398º
46º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
27.5%
Dumbarton
25.7%
Draw
46.8%
Falkirk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
46.8%
Win probability
Falkirk
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dumbarton
+9%
+4%
Falkirk

ELO progression

Dumbarton
Falkirk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2012
RAI
Raith Rovers
2 - 2
Dumbarton
DUM
66%
20%
13%
53 62 9 0
29 Sep. 2012
LIV
Livingston
5 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
67%
19%
14%
54 60 6 -1
22 Sep. 2012
DUM
Dumbarton
3 - 3
Hamilton Academical
HAM
40%
26%
34%
53 59 6 +1
15 Sep. 2012
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 2
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
29%
26%
45%
54 63 9 -1
01 Sep. 2012
GRE
Greenock Morton
3 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
50%
24%
26%
55 55 0 -1

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2012
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 2
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
43%
26%
31%
63 65 2 0
29 Sep. 2012
CWB
Cowdenbeath
1 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
51%
25%
25%
63 64 1 0
22 Sep. 2012
FAL
Falkirk
1 - 1
Airdrieonians
AIR
63%
22%
16%
63 56 7 0
15 Sep. 2012
HAM
Hamilton Academical
1 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
37%
27%
36%
63 59 4 0
02 Sep. 2012
FAL
Falkirk
1 - 2
Livingston
LIV
50%
24%
26%
63 61 2 0