Dumbarton vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
DUM
4 - 0
FOR
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CWB
0 - 0
DUM
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
DUM
2 - 0
BER
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 2
DUM
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
STE
0 - 2
DUM
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ELG
0 - 2
THE
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ALB
0 - 3
ELG
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ELG
1 - 4
FOR
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CWB
1 - 1
ELG
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
ELG
0 - 2
DUM
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |