Scottish Championship Round 21

Dumbarton vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis

Dumbarton Dunfermline Athletic FC
54 ELO 61
0.5% Tilt 3.3%
4021º General ELO ranking 1792º
46º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
33.3%
Dumbarton
27.1%
Draw
39.7%
Dunfermline Athletic FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
39.7%
Win probability
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dumbarton
+39%
+3%
Dunfermline Athletic FC

ELO progression

Dumbarton
Dunfermline Athletic FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jan. 2018
QOS
Queen of the South
0 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
57%
23%
21%
54 60 6 0
26 Dec. 2017
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 4
Livingston
LIV
27%
26%
48%
55 63 8 -1
23 Dec. 2017
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
41%
26%
33%
55 58 3 0
16 Dec. 2017
ICT
Inverness CT
1 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
62%
22%
16%
56 64 8 -1
02 Dec. 2017
STM
St. Mirren
0 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
67%
20%
13%
54 63 9 +2

Matches

Dunfermline Athletic FC
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jan. 2018
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
2 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
57%
23%
20%
60 58 2 0
23 Dec. 2017
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
2 - 1
Brechin City
BRE
78%
14%
8%
60 42 18 0
16 Dec. 2017
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 0
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
55%
24%
22%
60 63 3 0
09 Dec. 2017
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
2 - 5
Queen of the South
QOS
57%
23%
21%
62 60 2 -2
02 Dec. 2017
DUN
Dundee United
2 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
55%
24%
21%
62 64 2 0