Third Division Round 24

Dumbarton vs Cowdenbeath analysis

Dumbarton Cowdenbeath
47 ELO 34
12% Tilt 3%
3869º General ELO ranking 5736º
46º Country ELO ranking 64º
ELO win probability
73.6%
Dumbarton
17%
Draw
9.4%
Cowdenbeath

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
Dumbarton
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.4%
Win probability
Cowdenbeath
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dumbarton
-15%
+2%
Cowdenbeath

ELO progression

Dumbarton
Cowdenbeath
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Apr. 1999
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 1
Montrose
MON
62%
21%
18%
46 41 5 0
20 Mar. 1999
ROS
Ross County FC
1 - 2
Dumbarton
DUM
75%
16%
9%
45 62 17 +1
13 Mar. 1999
BER
Berwick Rangers
0 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
63%
21%
16%
44 49 5 +1
10 Mar. 1999
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 1
Albion Rovers
ALB
47%
25%
28%
44 48 4 0
06 Mar. 1999
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 2
East Stirlingshire
THE
52%
24%
24%
46 48 2 -2

Matches

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Apr. 1999
CWB
Cowdenbeath
0 - 2
Albion Rovers
ALB
36%
26%
38%
37 47 10 0
20 Mar. 1999
QUE
Queen's Park
2 - 1
Cowdenbeath
CWB
67%
20%
13%
37 45 8 0
13 Mar. 1999
CWB
Cowdenbeath
2 - 3
Ross County FC
ROS
20%
25%
55%
37 62 25 0
06 Mar. 1999
BRE
Brechin City
1 - 1
Cowdenbeath
CWB
64%
22%
15%
37 44 7 0
27 Feb. 1999
STE
Stenhousemuir
4 - 1
Cowdenbeath
CWB
72%
18%
10%
38 51 13 -1