Dumbarton vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1972 |
DUM
1 - 2
ABE
27%
30%
42%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1972 |
HOM
1 - 0
DUM
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1972 |
DUM
0 - 0
FAL
31%
28%
40%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1972 |
PAR
4 - 1
DUM
79%
15%
7%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1972 |
AIR
2 - 1
DUM
86%
9%
5%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1972 |
ARB
1 - 1
AYR
38%
28%
35%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1972 |
PAR
1 - 2
ARB
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1972 |
ARB
1 - 0
EAS
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1972 |
FAL
3 - 1
ARB
73%
17%
9%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1972 |
CEL
3 - 3
ARB
88%
8%
5%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | +1 |