Dumbarton vs Aberdeen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1921 |
KIL
1 - 0
DUM
76%
15%
9%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1921 |
ALB
3 - 0
DUM
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1921 |
DUM
3 - 0
HAM
42%
25%
32%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1921 |
DUM
0 - 3
HOM
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1921 |
DUM
1 - 0
STM
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1921 |
ABE
1 - 0
AYR
38%
26%
35%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1921 |
PAR
2 - 0
ABE
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
ABE
1 - 0
ALB
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1921 |
FAL
0 - 0
ABE
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1921 |
MHE
4 - 0
ABE
73%
16%
11%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |