Conference Premier Isthmian Round 1

Dulwich Hamlet FC vs Dartford analysis

Dulwich Hamlet FC Dartford
37 ELO 44
8.4% Tilt 1.8%
8550º General ELO ranking 5682º
358º Country ELO ranking 185º
ELO win probability
16.9%
Dulwich Hamlet FC
20.6%
Draw
62.5%
Dartford

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
Dulwich Hamlet FC
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
62.5%
Win probability
Dartford
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dulwich Hamlet FC
+33%
-29%
Dartford

Points and table prediction

Dulwich Hamlet FC
Their league position
Dartford
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
12º
11º
1
22º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Billericay Town
4
87
31%
Ramsgate
11º
3
82
15%
Chatham Town
4
78
12.5%
Hashtag United
4
75
10.5%
Cray Valley PM
21º
0
74
10.5%
Dartford
18º
1
72
4.5%
Carshalton Athletic
10º
3
71
5.5%
Chichester City
14º
2
65
6.5%
St. Albans City
15º
1
64
10.5%
Brentwood Town
4
63
10º
4.5%
Dulwich Hamlet FC
6
62
11º
8%
Cray Wanderers
4
60
12º
8%
Lewes
12º
3
59
13º
6%
Folkestone Invicta
13º
2
55
14º
7.5%
Cheshunt
6
53
15º
8.5%
Wingate & Finchley
19º
0
51
16º
5.5%
Aveley
4
49
17º
10%
Potters Bar Town
17º
1
38
18º
8.5%
Welling United
20º
0
37
19º
15.5%
Whitehawk
16º
1
36
20º
14.5%
Burgess Hill Town
9
36
21º
16%
Canvey Island
22º
0
28
22º
35.5%
Expected probabilities
Dulwich Hamlet FC
Dartford
Promotion
2% 3.5%
Promotion play-offs
14% 30%
Mid-table
78.5% 65%
Relegation
5.5% 1.5%

ELO progression

Dulwich Hamlet FC
Dartford
St. Albans City
Canvey Island
Carshalton Athletic
Ramsgate
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dulwich Hamlet FC
Dulwich Hamlet FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Aug. 2025
DUL
Dulwich Hamlet FC
3 - 1
Bracknell Town FC
BRA
46%
22%
32%
32 30 2 0
29 Jul. 2025
DUL
Dulwich Hamlet FC
1 - 2
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
16%
22%
63%
32 52 20 0
05 Jul. 2025
BAS
Basingstoke Town
1 - 3
Dulwich Hamlet FC
DUL
58%
21%
21%
31 39 8 +1
26 Apr. 2025
DUL
Dulwich Hamlet FC
2 - 2
Chatham Town
CHA
21%
21%
58%
30 44 14 +1
21 Apr. 2025
CAR
Carshalton Athletic
5 - 1
Dulwich Hamlet FC
DUL
71%
16%
13%
31 41 10 -1

Matches

Dartford
Dartford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Aug. 2025
DAR
Dartford
2 - 2
Ebbsfleet United
EBB
57%
21%
22%
47 38 9 0
29 Jul. 2025
FAV
Faversham Town
0 - 0
Dartford
DAR
13%
18%
69%
47 29 18 0
26 Jul. 2025
DAR
Dartford
0 - 2
Gillingham
GIL
24%
25%
51%
47 58 11 0
22 Jul. 2025
HER
Herne Bay
2 - 2
Dartford
DAR
20%
21%
60%
47 35 12 0
19 Jul. 2025
DAR
Dartford
1 - 0
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
32%
25%
43%
47 52 5 0