DSO vs Den Hoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
9º
1º
34
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
62.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DSO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SVH
1 - 1
DSO
35%
22%
43%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DSO
3 - 2
FSP
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VOO
3 - 0
DSO
27%
21%
51%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
DSO
33%
22%
45%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DSO
4 - 1
VUC
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Den Hoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SVD
1 - 1
VAL
35%
24%
41%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VUC
2 - 0
SVD
30%
22%
48%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SVD
0 - 0
SVD
39%
23%
38%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SVD
0 - 0
UVS
50%
22%
29%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NOO
0 - 4
SVD
41%
24%
35%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |