Union Sportive Fougères vs Saint-Pierre Milizac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
45.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
11º
11º
43
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Sportive Fougères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LAT
3 - 2
USF
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
USF
2 - 3
LOC
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PON
1 - 2
USF
45%
24%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
USF
0 - 1
VIT
29%
23%
49%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
USF
0 - 2
BRE
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Saint-Pierre Milizac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LAN
2 - 3
SPM
41%
22%
37%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SPM
1 - 0
LAT
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LOC
2 - 1
SPM
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SPM
0 - 1
PON
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 1
SPM
59%
19%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |