Drancy vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 0
DRA
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
FCM
2 - 1
DRA
68%
20%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
DRA
1 - 1
COL
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
NAN
1 - 0
DRA
37%
27%
36%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
DRA
1 - 1
NOI
51%
27%
22%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SPI
1 - 0
LEN
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 0
SPI
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SPI
2 - 1
STR
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SPI
3 - 1
BRC
18%
25%
57%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 4
SPI
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |