Dragon vs AS Pirae analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
5.8%
4-3
2.6%
5-4
0.7%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
4.1%
4-4
1.4%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
<0%
0
18.7%
32.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
2.1%
4-5
0.6%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+139%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
2º
1º
25
3º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 15 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
OFC Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DRA
2 - 1
PUN
72%
14%
14%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
DRA
3 - 2
CEN
69%
16%
16%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
TEM
2 - 7
DRA
24%
18%
58%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TFC
1 - 7
DRA
8%
10%
82%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ASE
0 - 11
DRA
37%
20%
43%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AS Pirae
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CEN
2 - 5
PIR
35%
20%
46%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
VEN
1 - 0
PIR
39%
20%
41%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PIR
7 - 0
ASJ
92%
5%
3%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PUN
1 - 1
PIR
26%
17%
57%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PIR
6 - 3
TEM
78%
12%
10%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |