Dragon vs Manu Ura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
DRA
7 - 2
RON
55%
21%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
DRA
3 - 6
TEF
48%
21%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
DRA
11 - 1
TAM
69%
16%
15%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
DRA
4 - 1
TAH
78%
13%
9%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
TEF
6 - 1
DRA
59%
19%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Manu Ura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PIR
5 - 0
MAN
50%
21%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 0
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 0
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
10 - 1
TAM
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
RON
1 - 3
MAN
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |