Dragon vs Arue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
95.4%
Win probability
4.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.7%
+10
0.7%
9-0
1.5%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.7%
8-0
2.9%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
3.6%
7-0
5.2%
8-1
1.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
6.7%
6-0
8.2%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
10.8%
5-0
11%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
15.1%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
3.1%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
1.4%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
3.1%
0.9%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
0.8%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
2-4
0%
-2
0.1%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CEN
0 - 0
DRA
49%
19%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
DRA
6 - 1
OLY
88%
8%
5%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
MAT
0 - 6
DRA
28%
19%
53%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
DRA
5 - 1
ASJ
89%
7%
4%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
ASJ
1 - 3
DRA
4%
7%
89%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | -13 |
Matches
Arue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
PIR
2 - 0
ASA
98%
2%
0%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
ASA
1 - 3
MAT
7%
13%
81%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ASA
0 - 0
TEF
2%
6%
92%
|
9 | 29 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
VEN
5 - 0
ASA
94%
5%
1%
|
9 | 48 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ASJ
4 - 0
ASA
90%
8%
3%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |