Dorostol vs Lokomotiv Ruse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
16º
8º
11
7º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 67 |
1º
|
98% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 63 |
2º
|
64% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 62 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 57 |
4º
|
48.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 56 |
5º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 54 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 39 |
7º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 38 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 37 |
9º
|
44% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 26 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
62% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
41.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
|
13º
|
11 | 15 |
14º
|
39% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
15º
|
38.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorostol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 4
FSV
22%
21%
58%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 4
CMV
15%
18%
67%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FCF
4 - 1
DOR
6%
12%
83%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | -4 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FKR
2 - 1
DOR
54%
20%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 0
SGT
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FSV
6 - 1
LOR
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LOR
0 - 1
CMV
13%
16%
71%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LOR
1 - 1
SVE
23%
23%
54%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 1
LOR
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CMV
1 - 1
LOR
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |