Dornbreite Lübeck vs Oldenburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
56.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
9º
16º
14º
37
7º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dornbreite Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BOR
4 - 1
DOR
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 1
GWS
47%
20%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
TOD
3 - 1
DOR
82%
12%
7%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
DOR
6 - 2
FRI
44%
22%
34%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
FRI
3 - 0
DOR
39%
22%
39%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Oldenburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
OLD
1 - 3
WEF
72%
15%
13%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
KIL
4 - 0
OLD
5%
10%
84%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | -3 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
OLD
2 - 1
ITK
87%
8%
4%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
OLD
5 - 4
FCP
18%
18%
64%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
BOR
0 - 5
OLD
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |