Dorense vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
50.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
DOR
0 - 0
GUA
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
BOC
0 - 1
DOR
32%
22%
45%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
DOR
0 - 1
SER
25%
24%
51%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SOC
0 - 0
DOR
23%
21%
56%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
DOR
0 - 1
AMA
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 1
LAG
64%
23%
13%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 3
ITA
27%
27%
46%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
JAC
1 - 1
ITA
26%
25%
50%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 1
ITA
60%
24%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 1
CAM
31%
28%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |