Dorćol vs Rad Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorćol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BRO
0 - 0
DOR
46%
22%
33%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 1
JED
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 0
TEL
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +3 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 3
SIN
54%
21%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
SGR
2 - 2
DOR
37%
23%
40%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rad Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
RAD
0 - 1
TEL
30%
26%
45%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SIN
4 - 0
RAD
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RAD
0 - 1
SGR
68%
18%
15%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
RAD
2 - 0
RAD
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ZEM
3 - 0
RAD
68%
20%
12%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |