Dorchester Town vs Merthyr Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorchester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
POO
0 - 0
DOR
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
DOR
3 - 1
STR
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
CIR
3 - 1
DOR
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DOR
1 - 1
CIR
37%
27%
37%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 3
DOR
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MER
0 - 1
HAR
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
MER
1 - 1
PAU
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
MER
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
PLY
0 - 2
MER
25%
23%
52%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MER
1 - 2
CHE
71%
16%
12%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |