Donegal Celtic vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
12%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
DON
4 - 2
LOU
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 2
DON
75%
15%
10%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
DON
1 - 0
KNO
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
INS
4 - 2
DON
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
DER
2 - 1
DON
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
LAR
0 - 2
DUN
15%
18%
67%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
LAR
3 - 3
COA
47%
22%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
BAL
4 - 0
LAR
69%
19%
13%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
LAR
1 - 2
CAR
23%
22%
55%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
LIM
0 - 0
LAR
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |