Northern Ireland League Cup . 1/16
Global 6-0
Donegal Celtic vs Armagh City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
11.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
DON
2 - 1
BAN
61%
22%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ARC
0 - 3
DON
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
LAR
1 - 2
DON
40%
27%
34%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
DON
3 - 0
LOU
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 0
DON
44%
27%
30%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
BAN
3 - 1
ARC
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ARC
0 - 3
DON
28%
25%
47%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
LIM
4 - 0
ARC
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ARC
1 - 1
BMF
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ARD
3 - 0
ARC
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |