Donaufeld vs FAC Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
71.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donaufeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
VIE
4 - 0
DON
85%
11%
5%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
DON
1 - 1
AUS
37%
23%
40%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SKS
1 - 4
DON
39%
24%
37%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
DON
2 - 0
DON
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
POS
0 - 2
DON
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
FAC Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
DOR
0 - 4
FAC
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
FAC
2 - 2
GRA
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
AMS
0 - 2
FAC
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
FAC
1 - 2
SVH
51%
24%
26%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
FCB
2 - 0
FAC
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |