Donau vs Dinamo Helfort 15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
34.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
8º
8º
60
2º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 81 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 70 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 48 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 47 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 46 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 45 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 44 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 38 |
10º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 37 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 37 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 33 |
13º
|
58.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 23 |
14º
|
69.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 22 |
15º
|
67% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 17 |
16º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 0
DON
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
DON
1 - 1
GER
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AUS
1 - 1
DON
34%
22%
44%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
DON
2 - 2
SCH
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
SIM
2 - 4
DON
16%
19%
65%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Dinamo Helfort 15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SVH
3 - 0
RED
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
STA
0 - 0
SVH
40%
23%
38%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SVH
1 - 0
WIE
72%
15%
12%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 6
SVH
28%
22%
51%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SVH
3 - 1
BAC
16%
25%
59%
|
23 | 71 | 48 | +2 |