Don Bosco vs Cavaly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
19.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Don Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 0
DON
45%
31%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CAP
1 - 0
DON
48%
30%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
DON
1 - 2
AIG
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
DON
1 - 0
VIC
45%
29%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 0
DON
38%
33%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cavaly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
AIG
0 - 1
CAV
46%
31%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CAV
0 - 1
FIC
32%
31%
38%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAV
2 - 1
BAL
33%
33%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
CAV
45%
32%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CAV
2 - 2
AME
36%
32%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |