Real Brasília vs Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
15.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
SOB
0 - 1
DOM
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
DOM
1 - 2
BFC
83%
11%
6%
|
49 | 11 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
DOM
1 - 2
CEI
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 2
DOM
24%
23%
53%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
DOM
2 - 2
PAR
49%
23%
28%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 1
PAR
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 1
FOR
8%
14%
78%
|
40 | 10 | 30 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 0
SAN
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
CEI
3 - 0
FOR
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 2
GAM
17%
22%
61%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -1 |