Dom Bosco vs Comercial MS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dom Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1978 |
DBO
0 - 2
GOI
30%
29%
42%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1978 |
OPE
2 - 1
DBO
67%
21%
13%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
COR
4 - 0
DBO
69%
18%
12%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1978 |
DES
2 - 0
DBO
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
DBO
1 - 1
MIX
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1978 |
COM
1 - 1
ANA
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
COR
2 - 0
COM
69%
19%
13%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1978 |
RIO
0 - 1
COM
37%
28%
36%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
OPE
1 - 1
COM
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
COM
0 - 0
VNG
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |