Dom Bosco vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dom Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
DBO
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
CEC
2 - 0
DBO
12%
19%
68%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
DBO
2 - 0
NAC
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
DBO
1 - 2
LUV
43%
24%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AAC
2 - 0
DBO
18%
22%
60%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
COT
0 - 2
ATP
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ATP
3 - 0
COT
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 0
ATP
21%
26%
54%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 0
ATP
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ATP
2 - 1
PAR
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |