Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda Final
Global 2-1
Domžale vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
AHS
1 - 3
DOM
26%
28%
46%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
SCF
1 - 0
DOM
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
DOM
4 - 0
CEL
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
DOM
3 - 2
VAL
46%
25%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
RUD
2 - 1
DOM
33%
29%
38%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
SCF
1 - 0
DOM
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
SCF
1 - 0
FEY
40%
24%
35%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
SCF
2 - 0
KON
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
SCF
0 - 3
SVS
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
FVS
0 - 11
SCF
3%
10%
87%
|
84 | 10 | 74 | 0 |