Domžale vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
10º
9º
67
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 36 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 36 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
91.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
91.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
DOM
0 - 1
CEL
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
BRA
3 - 3
DOM
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
NKN
3 - 2
DOM
32%
25%
44%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
DOM
2 - 3
FCK
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
DOM
3 - 1
OLI
36%
27%
38%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
MAR
0 - 1
CEL
51%
23%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
MAR
4 - 2
FCK
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
NKP
2 - 1
MAR
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 0
OLI
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 0
ALU
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |