Q. Europa League Primera Ronda. Final
Global 5-2
Domžale vs Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
DOM
3 - 1
RAD
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
DOM
3 - 2
SHK
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
KRS
0 - 0
DOM
30%
30%
40%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
DOM
0 - 3
CEL
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
DOM
0 - 0
ZAV
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 6
SJU
46%
25%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 3
LUS
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SCO
0 - 0
LUS
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SJU
2 - 3
LUS
44%
25%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 1
FCS
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |