Europa League Knock-outs Last 16
Global 2-2
Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
38.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
KPT
0 - 1
DNI
35%
28%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
DNI
5 - 0
VOL
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
OLP
2 - 2
DNI
58%
22%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
DNI
2 - 0
OLP
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
LUD
0 - 1
DNI
47%
26%
28%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 0
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PSV
1 - 3
AJA
40%
24%
36%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
WAR
0 - 3
AJA
29%
23%
48%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 1
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 0
WAR
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |