Dnepr Smolensk vs Kaluga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
PSK
2 - 0
DNE
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
FKK
1 - 4
DNE
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
DNE
1 - 0
FKL
20%
24%
57%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
DNE
3 - 1
KOL
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 1
DNE
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
KAL
1 - 2
DIN
25%
26%
49%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
KAL
2 - 1
VEL
18%
21%
61%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
MET
1 - 0
KAL
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
KHI
0 - 0
KAL
70%
19%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
ROT
3 - 1
KAL
25%
22%
53%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |