Oberliga Bayern North Round 7

DJK Gebenbach vs ATSV Erlangen analysis

DJK Gebenbach ATSV Erlangen
34 ELO 24
14.4% Tilt 7.1%
5402º General ELO ranking 4099º
265º Country ELO ranking 185º
ELO win probability
75.6%
DJK Gebenbach
14.1%
Draw
10.2%
ATSV Erlangen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
DJK Gebenbach
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10.2%
Win probability
ATSV Erlangen
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
DJK Gebenbach
-57%
+14%
ATSV Erlangen

Points and table prediction

DJK Gebenbach
Their league position
ATSV Erlangen
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
13º
10º
52
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hankofen-Hailing
71
71
100%
VfB Eichstätt
68
68
100%
Eltersdorf
67
67
100%
TSV Abtswind
59
59
100%
Ingolstadt 04 II
55
58
90.5%
Bayern Hof
58
58
90.5%
ASV Cham
55
55
100%
Ammerthal
54
54
0%
Neudrossenfeld
54
54
0%
DJK Gebenbach
10º
52
52
10º
0%
Jahn Regensburg II
11º
52
52
11º
100%
ASV Neumarkt
12º
52
52
12º
100%
ATSV Erlangen
13º
52
52
13º
0%
TSV Kornburg
14º
49
49
14º
100%
Fortuna Regensburg
15º
48
48
15º
100%
FC Coburg
16º
41
41
16º
100%
Würzburger FV
17º
27
27
17º
100%
SV Donaustauf
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Feucht SC
19º
16
16
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
DJK Gebenbach
ATSV Erlangen
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

DJK Gebenbach
ATSV Erlangen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

DJK Gebenbach
DJK Gebenbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2023
DJK
DJK Gebenbach
0 - 2
Jahn Regensburg II
JRE
56%
20%
24%
35 33 2 0
11 Aug. 2023
EIC
VfB Eichstätt
1 - 0
DJK Gebenbach
DJK
52%
21%
27%
36 38 2 -1
04 Aug. 2023
DJK
DJK Gebenbach
3 - 2
Ingolstadt 04 II
ING
46%
21%
32%
34 36 2 +2
29 Jul. 2023
KOR
TSV Kornburg
1 - 2
DJK Gebenbach
DJK
21%
21%
58%
34 26 8 0
25 Jul. 2023
DJK
DJK Gebenbach
2 - 2
ASV Cham
ASV
57%
20%
23%
34 32 2 0

Matches

ATSV Erlangen
ATSV Erlangen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Aug. 2023
EIC
VfB Eichstätt
3 - 0
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
77%
14%
9%
24 37 13 0
25 Jul. 2023
ING
Ingolstadt 04 II
2 - 0
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
68%
17%
14%
25 33 8 -1
21 Jul. 2023
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
1 - 1
Feucht SC
FEU
57%
21%
22%
25 22 3 0
06 Jul. 2023
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
1 - 2
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
9%
17%
73%
25 50 25 0
27 May. 2023
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
5 - 3
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
65%
18%
17%
25 31 6 0