Diter Zafra vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
64.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diter Zafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CDB
1 - 1
CDZ
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CDZ
3 - 1
UDF
63%
21%
16%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MOR
5 - 0
CDZ
29%
25%
46%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CDZ
0 - 0
VAL
69%
20%
12%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
AMA
2 - 2
CDZ
28%
25%
46%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ARR
4 - 1
ASJ
73%
18%
9%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
ARR
17%
22%
61%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ARR
1 - 0
SNV
83%
13%
4%
|
46 | 15 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 2
ARR
9%
18%
73%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CDB
1 - 3
ARR
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |