Third Division Malta Normal Season Round 10

Dingli Swallows vs Ghaxaq analysis

Dingli Swallows Ghaxaq
23 ELO 26
2.1% Tilt -4.9%
20160º General ELO ranking 28770º
55º Country ELO ranking 59º
ELO win probability
44.9%
Dingli Swallows
23.5%
Draw
31.6%
Ghaxaq

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
Dingli Swallows
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.6%
Win probability
Ghaxaq
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dingli Swallows
-22%
+12%
Ghaxaq

Points and table prediction

Dingli Swallows
Their league position
Ghaxaq
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
13º
19º
19º
25
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Senglea Athletic
53
53
100%
Mgarr United FC
50
50
100%
Zabbar St. Patrick
48
48
100%
Msida St Joseph
43
43
100%
Kalkara
36
36
100%
Luqa St. Andrew's
33
33
100%
Xghajra Tornados
32
32
100%
Gharghur
31
31
0%
Rabat Ajax
31
31
0%
Kirkop United
10º
29
29
10º
0%
St. Georges FC
11º
29
29
11º
0%
Birzebbuga St. Peters
12º
28
28
12º
100%
Ghaxaq
13º
25
25
13º
100%
Qormi FC
14º
22
22
14º
100%
Pembroke Athleta
15º
21
21
15º
100%
Mellieha
16º
16
16
16º
100%
St. Venera
17º
14
14
17º
100%
Siggiewi
18º
12
12
18º
100%
Dingli Swallows
19º
9
9
19º
100%
Mdina Knights
20º
6
6
20º
100%
Ta' Xbiex
21º
1
1
21º
100%
Expected probabilities
Dingli Swallows
Ghaxaq
Promotion
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Dingli Swallows
Ghaxaq
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dingli Swallows
Dingli Swallows
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2022
DIN
Dingli Swallows
0 - 3
Kirkop United
KIR
32%
24%
45%
24 33 9 0
20 Nov. 2022
MSI
Msida St Joseph
3 - 0
Dingli Swallows
DIN
80%
13%
8%
24 38 14 0
06 Nov. 2022
DIN
Dingli Swallows
0 - 3
St. Georges FC
SGC
26%
23%
51%
26 38 12 -2
30 Oct. 2022
GHA
Gharghur
3 - 0
Dingli Swallows
DIN
76%
15%
9%
26 39 13 0
15 Oct. 2022
DIN
Dingli Swallows
0 - 1
Siggiewi
SIG
40%
24%
37%
27 33 6 -1

Matches

Ghaxaq
Ghaxaq
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2022
MDI
Mdina Knights
1 - 3
Ghaxaq
GHA
47%
22%
31%
25 23 2 0
19 Nov. 2022
GHA
Ghaxaq
0 - 3
Rabat Ajax
RAB
19%
22%
59%
26 40 14 -1
05 Nov. 2022
LUQ
Luqa St. Andrew's
4 - 0
Ghaxaq
GHA
70%
17%
13%
27 36 9 -1
29 Oct. 2022
KIR
Kirkop United
1 - 0
Ghaxaq
GHA
58%
20%
22%
28 30 2 -1
22 Oct. 2022
SGC
St. Georges FC
2 - 0
Ghaxaq
GHA
74%
15%
11%
28 36 8 0