UCL Qualifying Play Offs Final
Global 4-3
Dinamo Zagreb vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
DZG
5 - 0
KAR
78%
16%
6%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SLA
0 - 2
DZG
29%
26%
45%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
DZG
1 - 0
HJK
65%
20%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
DZG
2 - 0
HNK
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
HJK
1 - 2
DZG
40%
25%
34%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
MFF
2 - 2
ACM
27%
28%
45%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
MJÄ
1 - 1
MFF
29%
26%
45%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
MFF
1 - 1
GLA
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
GLA
0 - 1
MFF
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
HEL
2 - 2
MFF
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |