Qualif. Champions Tercera Ronda. Final
Global 3-1
Dinamo Zagreb vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
DZG
2 - 0
HNK
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
HJK
1 - 2
DZG
40%
25%
34%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
DZG
2 - 0
INT
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
FKN
0 - 0
DZG
23%
25%
52%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
DZG
3 - 0
FKN
73%
17%
9%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
HJK
1 - 0
IFK
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
HJK
1 - 2
DZG
40%
25%
34%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
FFJ
1 - 0
HJK
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
HJK
10 - 0
BAN
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
HJK
3 - 0
VAA
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |