UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 6-0
Dinamo Zagreb vs Fola Esch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
DZG
3 - 0
ZAD
80%
14%
6%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 5
DZG
24%
25%
51%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2013 |
DZG
3 - 1
OSI
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
DZG
1 - 1
HKS
62%
21%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
DZG
3 - 1
HKS
61%
21%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fola Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 5
DZG
24%
25%
51%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
FOL
4 - 2
UKT
83%
13%
5%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
JEU
1 - 5
FOL
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
FOL
5 - 1
ETZ
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CSP
0 - 2
FOL
12%
22%
67%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |