UCL Group D Round 3

Dinamo Zagreb vs Ajax analysis

Dinamo Zagreb Ajax
85 ELO 89
4.9% Tilt 2.7%
290º General ELO ranking 107º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
33%
Dinamo Zagreb
24%
Draw
43%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
Dinamo Zagreb
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
43%
Win probability
Ajax
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Dinamo Zagreb
Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 2011
ZAD
Zadar
2 - 1
Dinamo Zagreb
DZG
17%
24%
59%
85 66 19 0
01 Oct. 2011
DZG
Dinamo Zagreb
2 - 1
HNK Sibenik
HNS
76%
16%
7%
85 68 17 0
27 Sep. 2011
LYO
Olympique Lyonnais
2 - 0
Dinamo Zagreb
DZG
63%
21%
16%
85 89 4 0
23 Sep. 2011
LOK
Lokomotiva
1 - 2
Dinamo Zagreb
DZG
18%
23%
58%
85 68 17 0
20 Sep. 2011
NKR
NK Radoboj
0 - 5
Dinamo Zagreb
DZG
6%
14%
80%
85 10 75 0

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2011
AJA
Ajax
2 - 2
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
60%
21%
18%
88 86 2 0
02 Oct. 2011
GRO
Groningen
1 - 0
Ajax
AJA
15%
20%
66%
88 76 12 0
27 Sep. 2011
RMA
Real Madrid
3 - 0
Ajax
AJA
80%
12%
8%
88 95 7 0
24 Sep. 2011
AJA
Ajax
1 - 1
Twente
TWE
49%
24%
27%
88 88 0 0
21 Sep. 2011
NOO
VV Noordwijk
1 - 3
Ajax
AJA
9%
16%
75%
88 53 35 0