UEFA Intertoto Cup . Last 16
Global 0-1
Dinaburg vs Aalborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
47.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinaburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2000 |
VAL
1 - 0
DIN
39%
26%
36%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2000 |
DIN
1 - 0
TRE
32%
27%
42%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2000 |
TRE
0 - 3
DIN
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +2 |
| 13 Jun. 2000 |
FCS
3 - 0
DIN
79%
14%
7%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2000 |
DIN
1 - 1
FKD
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2000 |
VFF
1 - 0
AAB
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
BIF
1 - 0
AAB
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2000 |
AAB
1 - 1
AGF
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
VFF
7 - 2
AAB
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2000 |
AAB
2 - 1
AKA
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |