UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 2-4
Differdange 03 vs FC Drita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
FCD
1 - 0
DIF
39%
24%
37%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
LOU
0 - 0
DIF
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
UNA
1 - 2
DIF
44%
24%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
DIF
2 - 2
F91
35%
23%
42%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
UNA
1 - 0
DIF
43%
25%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FC Drita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
FCD
1 - 0
DIF
39%
24%
37%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
SFC
1 - 3
FCD
66%
20%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
SIL
2 - 2
FCD
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
FCD
4 - 1
FER
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
GJI
0 - 0
FCD
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |