National 3 Normandie. Jor. 12

Dieppe vs Avranches II analysis

Dieppe Avranches II
26 ELO 21
-16.4% Tilt -15.2%
7994º General ELO ranking 36159º
223º Country ELO ranking 811º
ELO win probability
60.7%
Dieppe
21.5%
Draw
17.8%
Avranches II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
Dieppe
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.8%
Win probability
Avranches II
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dieppe
-7%
+36%
Avranches II

Points and table prediction

Dieppe
Their league position
Avranches II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
32
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AF Virois
59
59
100%
Dieppe
42
42
100%
Cherbourg
41
41
100%
AG Caennaise
40
40
0%
Le Havre II
40
40
34%
Alençon
39
39
66%
QRM II
38
39
66%
Oissel
37
37
100%
Saint-Lô Manche
36
36
100%
Dives
10º
33
34
10º
100%
Avranches II
11º
32
32
11º
100%
Gonfreville
12º
31
31
12º
100%
Grand-Quevilly
13º
18
18
13º
100%
Mont-Gaillard
14º
16
16
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Dieppe
Avranches II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Dieppe
Avranches II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dieppe
Dieppe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2023
DIE
Dieppe
2 - 0
QRM II
QUE
52%
24%
24%
26 23 3 0
04 Feb. 2023
MGA
Mont-Gaillard
0 - 1
Dieppe
DIE
26%
22%
52%
26 18 8 0
28 Jan. 2023
DIE
Dieppe
3 - 1
Oissel
OIS
16%
22%
62%
22 37 15 +4
21 Jan. 2023
DIE
Dieppe
0 - 1
AG Caennaise
AGC
27%
23%
50%
23 29 6 -1
10 Dec. 2022
DIV
Dives
3 - 1
Dieppe
DIE
38%
24%
37%
24 20 4 -1

Matches

Avranches II
Avranches II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2023
AVR
Avranches II
0 - 0
Le Havre II
LEH
27%
24%
49%
20 28 8 0
04 Feb. 2023
QUE
QRM II
0 - 0
Avranches II
AVR
64%
19%
17%
20 24 4 0
28 Jan. 2023
GRQ
Grand-Quevilly
2 - 1
Avranches II
AVR
38%
22%
40%
21 17 4 -1
21 Jan. 2023
AVR
Avranches II
0 - 6
AF Virois
AFV
18%
19%
63%
22 33 11 -1
10 Dec. 2022
AGC
AG Caennaise
1 - 2
Avranches II
AVR
73%
15%
12%
21 29 8 +1
X