Didcot Town vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
60.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Didcot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MOL
1 - 0
DID
24%
20%
56%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
BAN
2 - 1
DID
40%
24%
37%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
DID
4 - 2
BRE
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CIN
1 - 1
DID
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
DID
4 - 1
TOW
65%
19%
17%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
EXE
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
EXE
1 - 1
NOT
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
EXE
1 - 0
CAM
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CUM
1 - 0
EXE
53%
22%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
EXE
3 - 3
STE
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |