Diadema vs Mauaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
25.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diadema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
DIA
1 - 1
POR
28%
24%
48%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SVA
1 - 1
DIA
15%
20%
65%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
DIA
3 - 1
BER
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +4 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MAT
2 - 0
DIA
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
DIA
0 - 3
BEB
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Mauaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
MAU
1 - 0
BER
24%
23%
53%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MAU
1 - 1
POR
22%
23%
55%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
JAB
1 - 2
MAU
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
MAU
2 - 4
AGU
13%
20%
67%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
POR
3 - 0
MAU
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | -1 |