Devonshire Colts vs Somerset Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devonshire Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2009 |
DEV
4 - 0
DEV
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
DEV
2 - 1
PHC
39%
25%
36%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SOU
2 - 0
DEV
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
DEV
0 - 2
SOM
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 0
DEV
63%
20%
18%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Somerset Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
SOM
0 - 0
SOU
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
SOM
2 - 1
SOM
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
BOU
3 - 2
SOM
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
SOM
3 - 2
HOR
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SOM
3 - 2
DEV
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |